Title:برنامه ریزی برای تغییر آب و هوا در نیوجرسی: ابزارهایی برای برنامه ریزان

تاریخ پخش اینترنتی: ۹ آگوست ۲۰۱۳ با حمایت: نیوجرسی شرح فصل: کارشناسان برجسته نیوجرسی در زمینه تغییرات آب و هوایی مشغول ایجاد مجموعه ای از ابزارها برای کمک به ما در تجسم اثرات بالقوه تغییرات آب و هوایی در آینده بوده اند. علاوه بر این، آنها به دنبال راه هایی برای کمک به جوامع برای آماده شدن و انطباق با “واقعیت جدیدی” هستند که شامل تغییرات مکرر دما، بارندگی و سطح دریا است. برنامه ریزان نیوجرسی که در ایالتی زندگی می کنند که سریعتر و شدیدتر از سایرین تأثیرات تغییر آب و هوا را تحمل می کند، باید با جدیدترین تحقیقات و بهترین شیوه ها برای رسیدگی به تغییرات آب و هوا آشنا باشند. سخنرانان اتحاد انطباق با تغییرات آب و هوایی نیوجرسی مشاهدات تاریخی در آب و هوا را نشان خواهند داد که دانشمندان را بسیار نگران کرده است، و آنچه ما می توانیم برای آینده انتظار داشته باشیم. آنها نتایج یک نظرسنجی اخیر را ارائه خواهند کرد که دانش و باورهای برنامه ریزان نیوجرسی در مورد تغییرات آب و هوا را آزمایش کرد. مهمتر از همه، آنها بهترین شیوه های پیشرو در آماده سازی تغییرات آب و هوا را ارائه خواهند کرد. این جلسه همچنین ارائه‌ای توسط ریچارد لاتروپ از مرکز سنجش از دور و تحلیل فضایی (CRASSA) در راتگرز در مورد ابزار NJ FloodMapper و همچنین سایر ابزارهای موجود که می‌تواند به برنامه‌ریزان در رسیدگی به تغییرات آب و هوا در سطوح محلی و منطقه‌ای کمک کند، ارائه خواهد شد. . توجه: این پخش اینترنتی در حال حاضر فقط برای مشاهده در دسترس است و برای اعتبارات AICP CM قابل اجرا نیست.

قسمتي از متن فيلم: These are in listen only mode hello everyone and welcome to the webcast my name is christine dersey and i’m the executive director of apa ohio and vice chair of the new urbanism division and i will be moderator for today’s webcast today friday august 9th we will hear the presentation planning for climate change

In new jersey tools for planners for technical help during today’s webcast type your questions in the chat box found in the webinar toolbar to the right of your screen or call the 1 800 number shown for content questions related to the presentation type those in the questions

Box also located in the webinar toolbar to the right of your screen we will answer those at the end of the presentation during the q a session on your screen is a list of the sponsoring chapters and divisions i’d like to thank all the participating sponsors for making these webcasts free and possible

Today’s webcast is sponsored by the new jersey chapter for more information on this chapter and how to become a member visit njplaning.org and to learn more about all the different types of chapters available visit planning.org chapters on your screen is a list of upcoming webcasts to register for these free webcasts visit

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Webcast planning for climate change in new jersey tools for planners this webcast will be available for 1.5 credits but is not yet it is currently pending so check back in probably a week and a half or so to go ahead and report those all of our webcasts are recorded and

They can be found on our youtube channel you can go ahead and log on youtube.com planning webcast or if you’re already on youtube just search planning webcast for a pdf copy of today’s webcast email planning webcast yahoo.com okay i’m going to go ahead and turn it over to our first presenter jessica hello

Thank you for participating today my name is jessica giorgiani i am the northeast new jersey area representative for the apa new jersey chapter and i’m a planner with h2m associates in northern new jersey one of my roles is to coordinate webinars for the chapter so if you have ideas

Feel free to email them to me my contact information will be on the last slide today’s webinar is sponsored by the apa new jersey chapter the chapters hazard mitigation and recovery planning committee and the new jersey climate adaptation alliance again to learn more about the chapter go to njplanning.org

We have an excellent lineup of speakers today to talk about climate change they’ve been tackling this issue long before hurricane sandy hit hurricane sandy really just put an exclamation point on this issue for many communities particularly shore communities now that we seem to be having 100 year storm events every couple of years

And the real data is showing alarming temperature and sea level rise we keep hearing claims like this is the new reality this is the new normal well our speakers are here today to demonstrate what really has been happening what we can look forward to and how planners can

Use the research and the many tools that are being developed to assist communities in preparing for and mitigating the impacts from climate change so we have four great speakers today our first speaker is dr marjorie kaplan she’s the associate director at the rutgers university climate institute dr kaplan leads the rutgers climate

Institute which is a university-wide multi-disciplinary research education and outreach effort that facilitates collaboration across multiple departments at rutgers and a broad range of disciplines her 30-year career has included 21 years in government and 10 in the private sector she was the first director of the new jersey dep office of climate and energy

Where she oversaw regulatory programs under the global warming response act the global warming solutions fund law and regional initiatives to address climate change within various sectors including the regional greenhouse gas initiative and transportation and climate initiative dr kaplan will be discussing climate change trends and projections in new jersey

After dr kaplan we’ll hear from raymie strutzman she’s a master’s degree candidate at rutgers the blasting school of planning and public policy raymie is a research institute research assistant at the rutgers environmental analysis and communications group where she works with the new jersey climate adaptation alliance on developing recommendations and

Compiling resources on climate change preparedness strategies for new jersey raimi will be presenting the results of a recent survey taken by new jersey planners on their understanding of climate change the results should be interesting next we’ll hear from stacy perrine a senior research associate at the rutgers blasting school of planning and public

Policy she’s involved in a variety of community-based post sandy recovery projects as well as projects involving hazard mitigation planning and community resilience she began her career with the new jersey office of smart growth where she administered the plan endorsement program and assisted in the update to the new jersey state development and

Redevelopment plan more recently she worked as a senior planner for ocean county new jersey where she managed many projects including the county water quality management planning program and the joint land use military study initiative with the department of defense okay stacy will be talking about today’s leading practices and methods for

Preparing for climate change so we are all hoping to hear some good ideas from stacy our last panelist of the day will be richard or rick lathrop jr rick has been a professor in the department of ecology evolution and natural resources within the school of environmental and biological sciences at rutgers since

۱۹۸۹ and has served as the director of the walton center for remote sensing and spatial analysis since 1999. he has a phd and an ms in environmental monitoring and an ms in forestry from the university of madison wisconsin madison he also has a bachelor of arts in biology from dartmouth college

Dr leithrop’s research program works to integrate landscape ecology and geography with the application of geospatial technology to improve our understanding of the structure and function of human and environmental systems at regional scales he then translates that understanding into effective and appropriate techniques to improve on the ground natural resource

Management and land use planning in case there are any specific technical questions we also have jennifer ravito on the line and jennifer is a gis manager at the rutgers blasting school of planning and public policy she’ll serve as a resource okay so now let’s hear from our distinguished panelists

And i’ll be turning it over to dr marjorie kaplan okay can you can you hear me shall i start while you’re getting us translated over um i think i think you’re over do you have control okay let’s see it looks like you do okay it doesn’t want to work so

Marjorie i think you do have control move your mouse around okay you’re trying to hit either right clicking not getting anything when i right click i’m sorry ladies are you moving your mouse around i apologize everybody are you moving your mouse around marjorie yep okay hit right click your mouse

I have tried that and doesn’t seem to be giving me what we’ve worked with all right okay well again let’s see try one more time for sure not getting it guys well now it says that it doesn’t show me as having control can you try right clicking one more time

And if not one more time and if not you’ll just have to control it jessica i’m sorry i can advance yeah that’s fine nope not working okay all right well jessica why don’t you advance the slides for her and then we’ll just try with the next presenter i apologize okay

Well while jessica’s moving us along there we go go so thank you very much thanks christine thanks to ap’s new jersey chapter including linda weber and jessica for inviting our participation today um i was also asked to speak a little bit about the adaptation line so

I’m going to throw in a few slides about that so please next slide so um what is this new jersey climate adaptation alliance and what’s rutgers role it’s a network of policy makers public and private sector practitioners academics ngos business leaders to build climate change preparedness capacity in new

Jersey it formed as a result of a consensus recommendation by participants during a november 20 2011 conference you can it’s noted here the title you can watch the inaugural conference proceedings and view the presentations at that website i note that the impetus behind this conference was the state’s largest utility pseg who

Recognized the need to begin a statewide dialogue on climate adaptation and as per the consensus recommendation from the conference the alliance is facilitated by rutgers university as a neutral entity i co-facilitate this along with my colleague gene herb of the rutgers blasting school the alliance functions as a network of

Networks we are developing working through partnerships that already exist so we’re using existing delivery systems and i’m going to just emphasize to you that our work has been ongoing in a very thoughtful deliberative fashion and was underway prior to hurricane sandy former new jersey governors thomas kane and jim

Florio not only spoke at the inaugural conference they serve as our honorary co-chairs and they’re also engaged in our meetings and activities slide three um one component of our four part work plan is outreach education for the general public decision makers targeted stakeholders and practitioners thus we

Felt it was important for everyone to get on the same page with respect to climate trends and projections and to ascertain based vulnerability to the sectors in new jersey the second part of my talk will be about those trends and projections here you see the initial set

Of sectors that we focused a series of working briefs on slide four please the working briefs follow a risk and a vulnerability assessment approach they discuss adaptation practices and provide an initial set of considerations for new jersey and in partnership with the regional plan association we’ve been developing an adaptation directory for

New jersey to serve as a clearinghouse function and we’re working to expand that and make it easier to search and for folks to submit data the trends in projection synthesis the working briefs the directory they’re all available on the website next slide please we’ve embarked on a public policy process whereby we’re engaging

Stakeholders in various sectors through multiple approaches one of those involves surveys and raymie’s going to talk to you about the results of the one that apa members in new jersey recently filled out other methods include listing sessions targeted interviews and will be synthesizing input from this outreach

Effort and sharing it in workshops with technical experts to establish a series of policy recommendations for new jersey we expect to represent these results to the public to the legislature to the government officials for their use while also hoping they’ll facilitate projects that can help to address these recommendations next slide please

In addition to the public policy process we’re implementing other components of our work plan here i note some other outreach and education activities such as conducting a statewide post sandy poll hosting a statewide conference on climate preparedness practices just in may and we’re in the process of establishing best practice guides for

Various sectors and then we look to develop marquee projects that are helpful to expand climate resiliency we’re embarking on a strategic planning for statewide geospatial tool that’s going to build on the new jersey flood map or that rick will be talking about and employ climate projections for new

Jersey related impacts such as high heat and precipitation changes and build a system that can track changes over time that will be helpful for future planning scenarios so imagine if we can make better informed projections of changes we might expect in certain locations throughout the state and how these those

Things that might impact various agricultural crops tree species wildlife or where we might need better health care or infrastructure for vulnerable populations and then the last component of our work plan involves assessment of vulnerability and preparedness options for targeted business sectors and we’re planning an event for early 2014. next slide please

So as i mentioned this is the the screenshot of our website so everything i mentioned can be found there and we’re also in a process of a redesign so it won’t look like this for all that much longer next slide please so with respect to climate trends and

Projections i’m going to give you some highlights related to temperature precipitation and sea level rise for new jersey so let’s talk um temperature next slide please trend in mean annual temperature for new jersey these data show that the annual average temperature in new jersey has risen a little more than two degrees

Fahrenheit in the past 100 years fitting a linear trend to the data yes we see the data move up and down but overall the trend is warming and we see more rapid warming since 1980 the three warmest years on record occurred since 1998 and 2012 was the warmest year on

Record next slide please if you look at the global trends there’s a resemblance it resembles new jersey trends for temperature we globally see a slow rise in the late 19th and especially the early 20th century and a flat period in 1940 to 1970 followed by a more rapid rise since then in large

Part new jersey is consistent with these global trends next slide another way to look at new jersey is this box and whisker plot for each decade it shows the warmest year the coldest year in the middle year and 50 percent of the years that are in the middle this gives us a different

Perspective on the way the climate’s changed specifically if we look at the 2000s the coldest year of the 2000s was warmer than 75 percent of the years in the 1900s the 19 teens the 1920s so not only is the average temperature changing but also the range at which the temperature varies has changed

Substantially over that period of time next slide please if we up next slide if we look at the seasons the winter is on the left summer’s on the right the linear trend for winter is larger than summer just under three degrees fahrenheit for winter and just under 2 degrees fahrenheit for summer

But if you look at the winter diagram you see a lot of rapid variations from year to year which is characteristic of winter climate weather plays a more important role in determining the average temperature in winter than other times of the year and this year-to-year variability in winter temperature can mask long-term

Trends and this is the kind of thing that fools us into thinking because we see a cold winter or two there’s some alteration in long-term trends by contrast in summer the variability is a little bit less and becomes a bit more evident that the same temperature trends

We see on average globally we also see in summer here you’ll see the three warmest summers since 2005. we won’t have all the data in for the summer of 2013 until the end of the summer but this past july were actually ranks as the fifth fifth warmest july

Since records commenced in 1895 and the most recent four julys are all within the top six three other julys from the last 20 years also were in the top ten and what was notable for july is the freak this year is the frequency of unusually warm nighttime temperatures on

۲۶ days one or more of the over 50 new jersey weather and climate network stations failed to dip below 70 degrees fahrenheit next slide please so this is a great graphic done by our state climatologist dave robinson and jeff hoffman a long time colleague from new jersey dep for data going back to

۱۸۹۵٫ for each calendar month it denotes the 5 warmest and the 5 coldest in new jersey so focus on the colors and the blue and the red blue are unusually cold months red colors unusually warm months respectively and you look at each calendar month the months run top

To bottom january is on the top december’s on the bottom and time runs left to right the late 19th century on the left and 2012 on the right if we list the top five warmest and coldest months by coloring them 60 warm months 60 cold months plus some tides but

What’s clear is the blue colors are concentrated toward the beginning on the left side 41 of the 60 coldest months occurred before 1931 and the red colors are clustered on the right side so that 32 of the 60 warmest months occurred on the right since 1990 and if you just

Look since 2000 you see there have been 25 warm months and two cold months so climate change doesn’t mean we can’t have a cold month or any more cold months it just means that warm months are more frequent okay so yes you can go to the next slide and now we’ll look

At the measures of offshore water temperature temperature since 1984 from two coastal monitoring buoys one just south of long island and one to the east of delaware bay over the last several decades we see the trends for increases in temperature in offshore waters and there are implications here for

Fisheries and aquatic ecosystems please advance although not in new jersey the closest location where there are long-term measurements for lake ice cover are for lake mohank in upstate new york where they’ve kept track of the data the lake freezes up in the beginning in the winter and

The date the ice goes out at the end and we see that since the 1930s there has been about a 20-day shortening of the ice season on this lake and probably new jersey lakes are responding in the same way next slide please so what’s going to happen to summers in

The future can we estimate how many summers will be warmer in the future than what was considered the warmest summer on record so batista and nail are modeled this and their results from 2009 are shown here the map on the left is the frequency of summers in the mid 21st century

Projected to be warmest in the warmest summer on record and on the right the same metric for the last two decades of the 21st century and if we i think you have to click one more thank you and you could click again that’s fine if you look at new jersey 70

Of the summers will be warmer than the warmest record warmest summer on record by the middle of the 21st century and 90 of summers by the end of the 21st century are projected to be warmer than the warmest summer on record and there are of course implications for human

Health agriculture and energy demand so let’s go to the next one we’ll talk about precipitation this happened this is a photo after hurricane irene by the way slide 18 please in looking at new jersey precipitation trends we see an upward trend in precipitation if we do a linear

Straight-line fit of the annual mean new jersey precipitation and with respect to precipitation there’s a great deal of variability year to year and this green line attempts to smooth that out you see there’s a large decadal variability example it was very wet in the last

Decade and we can see the drought of the 1960s then the wet period in the 1970s and the wet period in the last decade or so and so by looking at seasonal trends in the 20th century most of the upward trend comes from changes in the spring

And the fall and you see smaller in the summer and winter but this high variability for precipitation makes it difficult to discern the trends in the total precipitation amount next slide please the total amount isn’t the only thing that matters and we can look at the

Sequences of wet and dry months so we have a similar graphic as dave robinson and jeff hoffman did for precipitation as they did for temperature i’m ranking the wettest months to the driest months and you see here there’s no obvious long-term trend in the frequency of wet and dry months which emphasizes

This variability the wettest month for six of the 12 calendar months has occurred since 2003 however and this might be or may be a harbinger of other changes in the variability of precipitation next slide so precipitation is complicated metric and this image is for the northeastern united states percentage of area of that

Of the northeast in which greater than the normal fraction of precipitation has come from heavy one-day precipitation events those really in the tail of the precipitation distribution and the background level for this metric for most of the 20th century was a little over 10 but beginning around 1990 there has been

An upward trend in this metric so that in the recent day decade it’s more in the range of 20 to 30 percent so we’re seeing more frequent heavy precipitation events and heavy precipitation events are becoming heavier can you advance the slide please another way to look at precipitation is

What fraction of it comes from very heavy rain events by region and in the northeast over the period since the late 1950s there’s been a dramatic increase in the amount of precipitation coming from very heavy events the heaviest one percent of precipitation events next slide please

Looking to the future we can look at projections of changes in the return period of heavy 24-hour rainfall events this idea of return period you might recognize in terms of an extreme climate or weather event it’s essentially one over the probability of an event occurring in every any given year so if

We talk about a 20-year return period it’s an event with a 5 probability of occurring in any given year and this image from the ipcc special report on extreme events assess this how frequently events today considered to have a 20-year return period will occur in the future

Done by region but we’ll look at the northeast region do you need to click again thank you and there are three scenarios of emissions the low the moderate and high greenhouse gas emission scenarios are represented by the colors and the box and whisker plot shows the range of variability from

Simulations of the future so even with variability it’s clear the return periods are expected to become shorter so that by the middle of the 21st century what today would be considered a 20-year return period event will have a typical return period of 10 to 12 years and by the end of

The century the return period is more in the range of seven to nine years so trends we’re seeing with respect to heavy rainfall events will continue and will have implications for river flooding and vulnerable infrastructure next slide we’ll talk about sea level so sea level in new jersey has been rising fairly

Steadily over the 20th century next slide you see the tide gauges here for sandy hook record at the top and the atlantic city record on the bottom and this goes back a little more than 100 years and about 4 millimeters per year or 14 to 15

Inches in the past century of rise at atlantic city new jersey has more rapid than global sea level rise averaging the global average of 1.7 millimeters per year over the 20th century because in new jersey land is subsiding which is caused by a combination of factors one being changes

Of movements of the earth’s crust which is left over from the ice age that ended about 15 000 years ago so during the last glacial period the weight of the glacier pushed the earth’s crust downward into the soft mantle some of the mantle moves sideways like toothpaste when you squeeze the tube

Causing the earth’s crust to bulge upward just beyond the edge of the glacier and once the glacier retreated its downward force diminished allowing the mantle to slowly flow back to where it had been so the upward bulge of the crust is now subsiding the other main region for subsidence is compaction

Of sediments in the coastal plain from the withdrawal of groundwater so we have water going up land going down and water rising is what we expect to get larger in the future next slide so satellite records over the last 20 years show the global globally the rate of rise is three

Millimeters per year now so rise accelerating a little bit is twice as large as the average globally over the 20th century and expect it to increase and then projections from our faculty here at rutgers which includes professors ken miller professors bob copp predict a 17-inch increase relative to the year 2000 by

۲۰۵۰ and the 41 increase 41 inch increase by 2100 and they’re given uncertainty their estimates we show the range here of 13 to 27 inches for mid-century and 29 to 69 inches by 2100 and these ranges might seem relatively large because we simply don’t know of course what future emissions will be or

What will happen with the ice sheets in greenland and antarctica which will have the potential to accelerate sea level rise but if we move to the next slide professor tony broccoli put this slide together and you can click again and we’ll get the red box what tony did was put this slide

Together to provide the context of sea level rise if we look at the listing of historic high water levels at sandy hook you see at sandy hook at the top where it says greater than 32 13.2 feet because during hurricane sandy that’s where um where the gauge went out of service

Because the water level was so hot at the battery it went up to 14 feet and this is relative to mean low low mean low water not relative to the highest tide you’d have during the day but typically the lowest height of the day at sandy hook this was a trend

Translated to a nine to nine and a half foot storm surge but what professor broccoli likes to call attention to many other events that may not have been as serious as sandy but were major flooding of vets if you note here including december 92 hurricane irene and then

There was a northeastern march of 19 1962 that devastated long beach island and if you look at those flood levels and you add three feet i think you might have one more click here um yes thank you to each of them three feet being the rise predicted for 2100 some

Will approach the levels reached by sandy and these are storms that happen more frequently so the take-home message is that even without any changes in storm intensity and it’s it’s the jury’s still out on whether hurricanes and nor’easters will change intensity in the future but even without any change in

Intensity this rise in sea level will make impacts of coastal storms greater and the next slide says it is to illustrate the fact that even if you think a few inches doesn’t matter it does and this is a picture we move to the next slide um this is a

Picture of a house the first day after sandy and the water line you see this is in seaside park new jersey and you’ll see that little water line just above the porch and you can’t see it but the entrance to the house is about the same level and these people were lucky the

Water didn’t actually get into the house but if the same storm happens 20 30 40 years from now um that won’t be the case so finally last slide i’d like to acknowledge the help of tony broccoli and the other scientists and folks who helped me pull this information together for you thank you

Okay thank you marjorie let’s see advance the slide and give it control over to raymie let’s give that a try um yeah it seems to be working uh good afternoon my name is raymie schutzman i’m a graduate student at the blasting school of planning and public policy at

Rutgers university and i’m going to be presenting the results of a survey that the new jersey climate adaptation alliance conducted in conjunction with the new jersey chapter of the american planning association and which hopefully many of you participated in all right i thought that this was working 10 minutes apparently not i’ll

Do it sorry i was hoping that wasn’t going to happen all right um so the survey that we did with apa new jersey was one in a series of surveys that we’re conducting amongst a variety of stakeholder groups including public health officers land stewards coastal communities representatives emergency managers and people from the

Business community amongst others and the idea behind these is to inform our public policy process and the recommendations that the new jersey climate education alliance will ultimately put together in addition to these informal online surveys uh rutgers university and dr michael greenberg did a statewide phone poll amongst the general population of new

Jersey asking about their opinions on climate change and also about their willingness to accept more stringent land use regulations the results of that survey were pretty interesting they indicated that new jerseyans are willing now to accept a pretty unprecedented level of land-use restrictions including letting the government decide which

Areas should not be developed things like that that really there hasn’t been public support for in the past and we encourage you to check out the results of that survey online at the njcia website not surprisingly though that survey also showed that new jerseyans have a fairly

Well willingness to pay for to implement many of these restrictions for example only 19 of respondents were willing to raise state income taxes for one percent for five years to pay for these things um people were willing to raise hotel taxes so that visitors pay or to issue bonds so that

Their grandchildren pay but the sales tax and the income taxes were kind of off the table next slide please um in overview of the participants in the planning the apa new jersey planners poll there were 137 respondents so a decent response rate and we think it’s a pretty good representative representation of where

Planners in new jersey actually work 17 through municipal government and i’m not going to read this to you because you can see that on the screen next slide please with this full short is that clinton strongly believe that climate change is occurring and that it’s caused by human

Activity so a full ninety percent of the respondents to this poll said that they either agreed or strongly um or well agreed or strongly agreed with the statement that global climate change is occurring and uh 79 think that climate change is caused mostly by human activities which is pretty different than the responses

We’ve gotten from some of the other surveys for example public health officers tend to be a little bit more skeptical than planets do orland managers do uh next slide please 95 of the respondents to the survey agreed or strongly agreed with the statement that global climate change is

A risk to new jersey and that’s compared with 70 of people in the general public that we found in the statewide poll so another interesting finding 67 of people in the planners poll disagreed with the statement state and local officials understand the implications of climate change for our region and that

Was compared with 41 in the poll for the general public so it seems that planners who kind of work more closely with state and local government are also a little bit more skeptical of their understanding of the implications of climate change and opinion was fairly divided on whether or not the media communicate

Honestly about climate change with 42 percent thinking they do and 44 thinking that they don’t next slide please we ask uh planners to rate how concerned they were about a list of climate change-related impacts in their area of practice and what we found from this is that

In every one of the impacts related to flooding sea level rise heat and drought we found that at least 75 of people said that they had great or some concern this question was on the scale of little concern real concerns from concerned great concern and

What seemed to be the issue of the most concern were infrastructure related issues so damage to critical utility infrastructure a full 77 percent of people expressed great concern about that um and 97 said some were great concern these numbers are all a combination of some and great concerns

Many of the other issues also damage transportation systems in sewage overflows inundation of low-lying infrastructure you kind of see a common theme here and of the impacts we’ve broken up into three categories flooding in extreme weather sea level rise and heat and drought and the ones that sort of got

The highest responses were all the flooding and extreme weather which since uh 96 percent of respondents were affected by sandy and ninety percent by irene i’m assuming this is more and somewhat biased by people’s personal experiences in recent years next slide please we ask planners to identify what they

See as the primary challenges of planning for climate change adaptation in new jersey and one of the responses that came up over and over again is the difficulty convincing the public and local officials to plan for the long term when there’s no immediate urgency that there’s a need for more public awareness

Of climate change impacts because people aren’t pressuring their representatives or their time councils or whatever for policies since other than storm events people really aren’t seeing these changes in their daily lives another challenge that was mentioned by a lot of people was home rule and the fragmented nature of decision making

Which i’m sure you’ve all experienced this to be a challenge for many planning exercises so climate change is no exception to that other things lack of political will limited funding and data shortcomings both the difficulty of making accurate projections and knowing what you’re planning for and also the access and

Expertise needed to work with the data that is available next slide please we asked what actions are in place planned not planned but needed or not needed in planner service jurisdictions and these are the responses of which actions are already in place or planned in order of you know which have the most

Responses um so we can see that many communities do have already or are preparing emergency preparedness and response plans followed by hazard mitigation plans risk maps um and so on down the list these uh this presentation i believe will be posted on the apa new jersey website so you can

Sort of scrutinize these numbers there but it is interesting and heartening to see that many of these things are being done already um it’s also interesting that 24 of respondents reported that they are currently in the process of implementing requirements to elevate houses rebuilt after flood damage uh next slide please

Okay so we saw what’s sort of in place and what’s happening so what’s still needed what’s not being done yet and so these are the responses that a lot of planners identified as needed in their service jurisdiction and the number one thing with 73 percent of people was capital improvement and maintenance

Plans that incorporate climate protection um also since is of vulnerable sub-populations comprehensive plans incorporating climate change projections and public outreach programs which i guess is meant to address the lack of public awareness that i mentioned earlier um green infrastructure projects 55 people identified riparian buffers living shorelines native landscaping

Tree planting wetland restoration and projects like that as a need but uh 28 of people reported that such projects are currently planned in their area so that was something we thought was interesting um next spicy when asked what are the most important actions or programs needed at the

Regional state or federal level to help members of the planning community prepare and respond to local climate change impacts the answer is the number one answer is focused on critical infrastructure assessments which eighty percent of people said there was a high need for 198 percent once you include the some needed responses

And improved coordination both between planning and other sectors and also between planning at different levels local state and federal we asked a similar question what is your planning jurisdiction most need to prepare and be ready to respond to climate change impacts over the coming decades and ask people to sort of input

Their own responses there and very similarly all the responses they are focused on the need for better infrastructure and hardened utilities particularly the electrical grid also not surprisingly amongst the survey of planners on the new for better and more comprehensive planning including incorporating climate change projections into plans and more coordinated hazard

Mitigation planning some other needs that were identified include better data adaptation tools that are appropriate for urban settings and that was an interesting one because it was one that we actually hadn’t included on the list we presented and a few respondents pointed out that there really isn’t a

Tool set available for how urban communities that can’t use setbacks or elevations should be responding to flooding issues some other needs identified included updated regulations addressing designing constructs and construction standards and addressing flood plans and both funding and research on different funding strategies to implement these measures

And now i guess i will pass it over to you to talk about some best practices okay thank you i’m gonna just try to give control just stacy no i don’t have any control are you sure it looks like you grabbed the mouse oh wait maybe i do yep okay i

Do for the time being yes okay good afternoon everyone my name is stacey perrine my presentation is directed towards local planners and it’s meant to begin the conversation of what can be done at the local level to prepare our municipalities for climate change and we look forward to working

With the nj apa and hopefully all of you in putting together some overall guidance on all impacts for uh planners moving forward my email address is on the screen so please feel full uh please feel free to contact me with information on how we might go about doing so

First it needs to be acknowledged that most people in new jersey who were severely affected by hurricane sandy are much more worried about the addition of their homes and personal belongings at this very moment than they are about climate change which is much more of a slower process

And that’s okay that’s to be expected but a disaster like a hurricane is also an opportunity for professionals like planners to step up and say that there are things that we can do to prepare for things like future storm surge sea level rise and other factors associated with climate change an

Important thing to remember is that there’s never been going to be 100 buy-in on any one climate-related scenario and local officials don’t want to leverage political capital trying to achieve this and working together to find some common ground is important when doing any local planning and that is why assessing the

Current knowledge and stance of your residence up front is a very important task before the planning stage can begin with that being said the public is currently being inundated with surveys workshops and hurricane sandy public meetings local planners can use this as an opportunity to piggyback on these events

That are already going on as to gather data on not only on the public’s current knowledge of climate change but also their overall interest in accepting it as a reality and addressing it um so you can use those events but also regularly help training board zoning town council meetings or other opportunities

And maintaining support for planning for climate change can be done through a local leadership team who collects data and identifies climate impacts which are precipitation temperature drought storm surge sea level rise and heat waves these have been identified by the new jersey climate adaptation alliance as the base

Climate impacts for for new jersey storm surge may not impact all areas of new jersey and other threats such as wildfires may be more prevalent in other areas part of the job of the local leadership team would be to identify the climate impacts in their individual community and apply them directly

This information is then disseminated to the public again using town council or planning board meetings if separate climate workshops are not possible to break down the basics resonance and non-technical easy to understand terms and graphics the local team should also lay out a clear path to implement needed projects

Related to their findings for instance if high impervious surface is shown in the town along with loss of habitat and wet loss of forest and wetland habitat the planner could identify a tree planting strategic track strategy or tragedy to combat the heat island effect as well as aid in stormwater management

It’s important that project costs and partners are identified in the strategy phase so that there’s a project champion and timelines and follows through so this should go for projects big and small and also the public should be engaged through the entire process and it’s important to note that some of

These activities can get the community points in the community rating systems or the crs program and therefore therefore lower the resident’s flood insurance premiums and participation in the crs is also a valuable action they can be completely a completely separate educational component to your climate mitigation and adaptation planning

Okay so uh next i’ll talk about assessing risk so data is gathered on climate variables that of a scattered should address to who what and where the community so identifying the who um the who what and where will of in your risk assessment will require some basic census data

Collection and maintenance as well as geospatial analysis on part of the municipality so having this capability at the local level is important however it should be noted that with current budgetary constraints this may not be possible so gathering existing information from different departments within them within the municipalities such as planning oem

Health and vital statistics etc may be sufficient and it’s a good place to start for a basic analysis in terms of the who you’ll want to know the age location and mobility of the population as this will illustrate not only who’s living in the community and may be in

Harm’s way but also their capability to adapt to or retreat from the impacts of climate change the where addresses where the risk areas are in your community is it coastal or inland your elevation and proximity to other geographical features that are also important even if they’re not located directly within your community

Also specific land uses such as agriculture that are more sensitive to changes in temperature and precipitation are important to identify also identify other geographical features that may affect your community’s response to climate variables such as elevation and forest covers um speaking specifically to flood prone areas federal flood payouts

Can assist in identifying and prioritizing key flood risk areas the national flood insurance program individual assistance ia and public assistance pa payout data from fema is available upon request from fema for municipal officials for planning purposes but not for but not for release to the public

A lot of officials don’t know this and they don’t ask for it and they really don’t know how beneficial it is to see the historical locations of damages and payouts in their communities whether it be public property and infrastructure or private homes and private property vulnerable sectors for local actions are covered in

The next slide so local planners and local leadership teams should identify vulnerabilities in their towns in the following sectors so first is build infrastructure this includes transportation so roads and roads and railways that not only serve the community day-to-day but also serve as evacuation routes energy tele communications and utility

Infrastructure such as wastewater treatment sites electricity gas landline utilities cell phone towers parks and preserved lands through capital improvement planning towns and counties can be proactive about infrastructure planning and how and where they want to invest going forward incorporating climate change projections into the process i’ll also mention in a future slide

About bringing the utility companies into the conversation early on secondly i’ll group water resources and natural the national environment together water resources and natural environments will be affected by climate change this includes water quality increased inland flooding waste water stormwater management wetland packs impacts on forest and species habitat protecting and enhancing our

Environmental features offers natural defenses against the effects of climate change such as taking measures to restore wetland habitats and tree planting initiatives to compact combat eat heat islands in more urban areas um third i’ve grouped ag and coastal together just for the sake of time so another sector that will be highly

Impacted by climate change is the ag and coastal sectors which are big contributors to the economy of the state changes in temperature precipitation and periods of drought will affect the local food supply and commodities produced in new jersey to be sold both in and transported out of the state

This will be seen in the farming and winery industry in new jersey and also in the bays and ocean where changes in both the temperature and salinity of the waters will affect fisheries ensure tourism this will lead to impacts economic impacts of both the residential and commercial markets in the area

Through economic development planning local planners can identify these assets and their importance not only to the local tax base but also the economy and the identity of the state as a whole planners can also identify environmental actions that can be taken to offset these effects the effects of climate change to help to

Sustain these sectors lastly for public health and society along with public health officials planners can identify vulnerable populations at risk to high heat disease cardiovascular conditions and also the less mobile populations in need of assistance during hurricane i’m sorry during emergency evacuations and those in need of emergency sheltering

Also can create educational materials on public health as it relates to climate change so extreme heat asthma waterborne diseases and in new jersey we’re a special case because of our high population of senior citizens and retired residents and there are four clusters of more vulnerable less mobile residents reaching these residents about hazards

Evacuations sheltering and public health notifications cannot all be done on websites and a lot of our counties and towns in new jersey have told us that although they’re investing in ipads for day-to-day work they still have to stick to the old-school method of door-to-door visits and paper mail outs to disseminate public information

That’s something to keep in mind when doing your data collection and education on climate change in your community so perhaps using a web-based only approach isn’t the best approach lastly in terms of local actions i would mention the regulatory and land use actions that planners can take

They can help with and guide in their camp guide their towns so incorporate sea level rise temperature drought projections into local planning documents that link to comprehensive master plans regional plans circulation and mobility capital improvement zoning ordinances storm order management plans redevelopment plans hazard mitigation plans think about revising site plan and

Sub-division language to address oversight lost and impervious coverage and undersized stormwater management areas improved building standards to retrofit homes that can better withstand storm surge engage in targeted buyouts and elevation of homes identified as severe repetitive flood prone and in a schematic way that makes sense so to avoid the impression that these

Decisions are randomly made and again fema maintains um a database of both repetitively flooded and severely repetitively flooded homes throughout the state that you can request for research and planning purposes to guide you specifically on sea level rise utilizing geospatial tools is important because it allows you to take the data you’ve

Gathered and demonstrate the direct the direct risk to your community for example you’ve gathered the data on who lives in your community in terms of age and mobility you also know from federal the federal data that you’ve requested and received where the repetitive flooded repetitive flood flooded areas are and you can now

Overlay this data on a map along with sea level rise projections and get a more complete picture of where the damages are occurring who’s been affected who remains at risk and who will be at risk in the future this will then inform your policy decisions in the areas

On slide five such as the built infrastructure engaging local stakeholders and better coordinating between all sectors is important so that planning for climate change doesn’t become what we’ve seen hazard mitigation planning become which is a plan that’s written by one agency so usually oem and then projects are done by another usually engineering

So you can do this by engaging all parties up front so the public elected officials the environmental community the business community non-profits schools universities public works health officers oem fire police of course planning um engaging neighboring municipalities and regional leadership sharing your adaptation strategies because temperature changes in

Temperatures sea level rise and storm events aren’t stopping at municipal borders discuss your financial benefits of working together and share shared services review the possibility of regional preservation initiatives such as drainwaves and joint buyout initiatives where repetitive flooding is crossing municipal borders consider regional stormwater management strategies for more effective orderly

Charge and flood reduction consider a multi-coastal communities joint dune initiative for to protect a much larger swath um of a coastal of the coastal land instead of just one town one block or even worse just one or two homes and one last example is to facilitate better communication between residents

And private utility companies and bring them into the conversation early on so you ask you know what are the utilities plans if any in your community to create more resilient infrastructure to better resort to better serve your community and the public meetings that i’ve been to this always comes up so the residents

And the town officials are asking is someone from the power company going to be here so you want to get them involved early on in the process and this is just uh this is my last slide this is just additional resources that you can view on your own time

This will have some examples of local adaptation plans and more information on the subject and that’s it great thank you stacy i am now going to give it over to rick okay and one second okay can you try moving your mouse or looks like you’re good to go looks like

I’m a good guy okay i want to thank you for the opportunity to speak about um some of the work that we’ve been involved in on visualizing climate change impacts and resiliency planning and this has been a collaboration between um the jacques cousteau national austrian research reserve lisa allen miller down

There as the coastal outreach coordinator uh folks here at center for remote sensing and spatial analysis but new jersey dep and as well as the the barnegat bay partnership so we see the way we’ve been conceptualizing this is kind of the focus that i’m going to be talking

About is in terms of coastal communities is a progression from understanding the issues which a number that the other speakers have um addressed today and um assessing risk and vulnerability uh planning for the future and then um implementing and uh adapting so um our focus has been to develop place-based decision support tools

The idea that local land use planners need specific information about their communities and and so part of that has been working with uh kind of geospatial various geospatial tools to be able to visualize that so in terms of understanding issues marjorie earlier went through um a lot of this

And so i’ll go through this relatively quickly but the key point that i try to make is you know that sea level rise has been occurring over a number of years and so we have a very rich database in terms of empirical database of change across the time period and so this

Particular graphic is showing that for atlantic city in terms of uh the trend over the last 100 years of increasing sea level rise but when we start to look to the future there’s um a number of other factors that are coming into play and so depending on your planning

Horizon whether you’re looking at the 2030 or 2050 or 2100 there’s definitely we expect to see an increase in terms of an acceleration in serial rise rates to a number of different factors factors key thing about the graphic here is that there is a certain amount of uncertainty and that uncertainty

Increases so we see this wider envelope as we as we go out into the future so based on some of the best estimates that we have here for new jersey that incorporate some of these factors we can see in terms of at 2050 um that envelope

Between a half foot rise to greater than or you know approximately two and a half feet of seal rise so i think one of the events so this was work that we’ve been engaged in for a while um but one of the things that’s really focused attention um is

Is hurricane sandy and the impact that that has had on the jersey shore and the effect of storm surge and coastal inundation as marjorie mentioned that um hurricane sandy was not the first storm to hit new jersey major storm the image i’m showing here is from the march 62 storm and so

If we kind of zoom in this is uh down at strathmear down cape may county and you can see the amount of overwash across uh the uh shoreline and and the beaches i mean i’m sorry the uh the houses that have been knocked down so there’s been a number of storms that

Have impacted the jersey shore of the year now this graphic is similar to something that marjorie showed but it was put together by norb suti and so on the left hand side you can see some of these major storms that have hit new jersey over the years and and the inundation

And then on the right-hand side is um under um estimated sea level rise for 2050 and so similar to the point that margie was making is that um certain storm you know the the overall flooding we of these storms will um be higher into the future and this graphic does not include sandy

And that um other storms that uh weren’t so let’s say noteworthy uh that under future seal rise will be as high as some of the previous storms of of record so we expect even if the the frequency of these severe storms doesn’t increase that the impact of these severe storms will

Increase due to the effects of sea level rise so one of the things that um in terms of actually trying to translate this information into to uh to usable information from the planning perspective is having detailed um data on the earth’s surface and the terrain and elevation so uh with lidar

Systems light detection ranging systems we can now start to map with a high degree of accuracy in terms of what the elevation is and this is just showing uh an area for cape may and then showing what the some of the lidar map looks like so we have you know

Incredibly good information now that we’re building up for the state of new jersey that allows us to look at the potential inundation posed by storm surge and sea level rise data that we really didn’t have the previous terrain data did not support a really detailed analysis so based on this new lidar information

And and some of the other information about sea level rise is coming out working with the jacques cousteau austrian research reserve rutgers had developed and working with the nella coastal services center developed the new jersey flood mapper and the idea was to be able to assess risk and vulnerability for site-specific or place-based

Decision-making for individuals to be able to visualize which areas are most vulnerable and this was designed as a web-based tool so the idea is that anyone don’t need special software you don’t need an arcgis license you can get online and be able to to work with it so i’m just going to give

Some examples so this is not a live demo these are some screenshots one of the things that what we have here is the idea of being able to visualize different levels of flooding we’re using different increments basically one to six foot of flooding uh we incorporate uh information about

Facilities so the idea is what are some of potentially vulnerable infrastructure and and then there’s information on um social vulnerability and this is something that and as well as economic vulnerability the economic vulnerability is a piece that we’re working on now we’re also working to add additional information in terms of

Social vulnerability in terms of particular locations of vulnerable populations so this is a living site we’re adding to it all the time but if i go to the next slide here the idea is that you as a user can increment and look at which areas are vulnerable under different flooding

Levels so this is showing a three foot sea level rise there’s additional information if you look here in terms of overview and understanding the map and then we have additional text information as to the likelihood of different kinds of scenarios and different planning horizons whether you’re looking at 2050

Or 2100 what might be some appropriate sea level rise heights that you might want to work with but we’re leaving the idea this is completely interactive and the user can choose there’s additional visualization tools and so we have um in the in the viewer particular iconic locations uh so

A viewer can come in and then use a these are oblique photos ground photos and then you can use the slider to simulate a sea level rise at that particular location and and so it just provides another way rather than kind of a planometric looking down view um

A view of particular locations that people might be familiar with across the coast and what that mean might mean at different levels of flooding we include other information in there about the fema flood maps we’re incorporating we’ve incorporated information about where the sandy hurricane sandy surge extent was there’s also information about the

The base flood elevation the special flood hazard area maps and we are in the process of incorporating um storm surge maps for different categories of storms so based on the response that we’ve received from a number of uh different groups from the state agencies to local agencies

Where we can we’ve been you know trying to incorporate their needs into this uh into the viewer and there’s part of the focus has been on kind of human infrastructure we’re also interested in terms of the environment infrastructure and one of those is our coastal marshes and so tidal marshes um can maintain

Themselves sustain themselves through a vertical accretion of sediment over time the problem becomes is if uh the sea level rises faster than that increasion rate they can get drowned or flooded they will also move inland okay in terms of a kind of a horizontal migration as sea level rise and so where

We have um natural shorelines where there’s no um impeding factors then we would expect marshes to move inland across time and we’ve seen this in many places in new jersey the issue becomes is when we have bulkheads and development that potentially impinge the marsh and impede that horizontal migration

So as as part of the the the viewer we have incorporated information about where existing salt marshes are where as you look under future sea level rise uh so this is at a one foot rise and uh i’m just going to kind of increment up at different levels of rise here

And and then in terms of the uh two foot rise where we would expect to see um an increase in um uh horizontal migration in terms of where it’s impeded and unimpeded and then also where we would expect to see uh changes or loss of marsh um as uh as

They get flooded so the idea is that we want to be able to incorporate information you know where there’s unimpeded areas of marsh that those should be uh preserved to be able to to maintain our marshall and um and then where there is impeded that potentially the those

Impinging features could be could be modified so i’ll just increment through now there are other tools out there and i’m so i’m i’ve been asked to talk about some of the other web-based interactive tools that you may be familiar with or maybe not but fema has the

Best available flood hazard data map and so you can go to that site and see your communities and see if you know some of the new the preliminary base maps the pulmonary work maps that supersede the advisory base flood elevation maps and as i mentioned some of this data is

Or will be incorporated into the flood mapper the noaa has a an additional tool that basically takes these special flood hazard area maps and then adapts them or modifies them to reflect future sea level rise and so this is showing an example for the 2050 and kind of showing a low intermediate low

To high to highest estimate of sea level rise and what how that might change the vulnerability the special flood hazard areas in the future another tool that you may be familiar with is what is my base flood elevation it’s an address lookup tool this is especially useful for individual

Homeowners to be able to go in put in their address and then find out the base flood elevation for the particular property as well um the flood zone for that property and the estimated ground elevation for that property and then based on that they can determine you know the approximate height that

They would need to raise their dwelling to meet regulations and then the usgs has recently come out with an additional information about uh hurricane induced coastal erosion hazards and so this is another web-based tool so that you if your municipality is working uh incorporates the actual atlantic coastline shoreline that that tool will

Give you information about dune heights potential inundation overwash and as well as coastal erosion in terms of sand erosion so those various tools allow an individual or community to be able to visualize and assess the risk the next step is in terms of you know using that information to plan for the

Future so we have a companion website called prepareyourcommunitynj.org the idea is in terms of how you take that information and use it for resilience planning and it basically is a workbook that incorporates a variety of the different plans that might be appropriate at the municipal level

And i’m just kind of highlighting one in terms of shoreline restoration plan and what we’re working on now is actually creating the linkage a better linkage between the nj flood mapper and the prepare you community.org the idea that you could take the maps take the graphics from the

Flood mapper and use that extract that for your municipality to assist in terms of preparing those municipal plans and then the final component is in terms of the implementation and adaptation and that’s where you all come in in terms of actually um implementing and following through on developing these plans

So in terms of the key websites that i mentioned uh the nj flood mapper for visualizing sea level rise so that’s njfloodmapper.org and then in terms of the getting to resilience the community planning evaluation tool is the prepare your community nj.org okay thank you great thank you everybody thank you richard

Um i’ll go ahead and ask it looks like so far we only have one question so i’ll go ahead and ask that but if anyone else on the call has any questions remember to go ahead and type those into your question chat box and we can get those going for you

This particular question actually is for stacey and the question is as part of the vulnerabilities in towns how were local economies addressed or looked at as part of the analysis so stacey if you could speak on that well so far um the research that i’ve done and the experiences that i’ve had

Have been mainly in the shore communities so the the elected officials and the residents that i’ve spoken to have expressed concern since the storm but also before about water quality and how the fisheries have been affected and now post storm how the businesses have been affected and the rental the rental uh

Economy has been affected so those are the things that we’ve been focused on so far we haven’t done any in-depth analysis mainly through the survey work that the university has done and the workshops that that we’ve attended um the staff here has attended that’s the the local uh the local senate

Sentiment that we’ve heard um so those are the things that we have focused on it it would be interesting for us in the future to go to the other parts of the state and hear what other areas um of the state have to set to say what other

What other regions are are feeling and as part of this process going forward we’d be interested to work uh with planners and with the apa to be able to do that kind of work to go forward with uh with planners in other regions to start collecting that data and

Analyzing that but so far we’ve only heard from uh and had experience with uh with the shore communities and i’m sure most of you already know that just based on you know post-storm news coverage um media coverage as well but going forward um i would say that

We would like to learn more about the economy of the rest of the state um as it relates to climate change impact um so that would be part of that’s my interest going forward so if anybody is looking for uh pilot projects and research work going forward um to contact me because that’s

Kind of a deficit in my research work right now um folks this is marjorie i could also interject a little bit on this um there’s we have actually another student this summer working on looking at innovative funding mechanisms to address climate adaptation and so we’re hoping

To have a report come out of that and looking at the economics of this it may not be specific to individual communities and it may be a little bit more statewide but i think it will inject some thought about ways to fund these things and how and the economic impacts

On the other thing is that there is work going on by professor robin manchenko under sea grant project it is looking at the economic vulnerability of short communities in new jersey and finally another component of a project that rick is doing with us has to do with looking at is a coastal vulnerability

Analysis and there will be an ecosystem service evaluation associated with that and we’ll be looking at how we can value certain aspects of natural areas and other areas along the shore in terms of what the ecosystem service values are they provide and so that should be

Another set a data point that will be helpful and professors uh professor joe seneca from the boston school as an economist is actually working with us on that great thank you okay um we have a few questions for rick um have the best available flood maps been released

For cape may county if not do you know when they will be so we’ll answer that if you could answer that one first and then we’ll go to the second one um the if you go to this site well you’d have to go um back to that site

That fema maps so those would be released by fema and so they have a site uh in terms of where you know for the different locations what the best available data is and and so based on that site truthfully i don’t i’d have to go there to to make

Sure in terms of the to address the question about cape may okay um they’re the ones that um release those great thank you um and then the the second question for you in particular what is the funding for the walton center for remote sensing and spatial analysis is it associated with a

Government program we get funding from a variety of different sources through grants and contracts as well as some baseline funding for the new jersey agricultural experiment station okay the next question is what can inland ex-urban communities do in terms of land use and zoning to help plan for

Storm impacts so who would like to take this one i think what happens is um we have a lot of coastal and sea level rise experts here and that perhaps we need a future webinar on inland flooding yeah yeah this is rick here i mean ideally uh what we would would

Be very useful is the same kinds of flooding scenarios for inland flood plains that we now have with the coastal flood plains and so the usgs the water resources group at usgs and west trenton is doing some preliminary studies for some inland watersheds to be able to look at

Well given one foot two you know two foot three foot you know different levels of flooding than what areas would be um inundated so that that would be very useful um above and beyond in terms of the the fema maps that just show you know potential flood plains

So that’s something that’s coming down the pike but um right now isn’t just kind of pilot study stage and and i think that this is margery i think that some of the similar things that stacy mentioned you know once you have those those data you some of the similar measures whether it’s some

Buyouts or um or you know uh kind of getting out of harm’s way or raising your house those some of they’ll be sort of sort of some of the similar approaches this is stacey in a um fema funded project last year judy shaw in my office

And i went out and interviewed about a dozen towns in the raritan river basin um we asked them a series of questions about their his this was before sandy this was more focused on irene their their history of riverine flooding what they thought the causes were what they wanted to do um in

Terms of mitigation how they wanted to pay for it what their costs had been in the past and every town and i don’t want to say every town but some of the towns pointed their fingers at another town and said it’s because they built this this year they built

This and that’s when we saw that we started flooding so i think that just increasing the dialogue between these different towns and doing some regional planning would really go a long way um in in you know communication i think is key and that we see that now even um in in the coastal

Communities with the workshops that we’re doing now they say there’s no regional planning and we don’t even know what’s going on in the next town so how can we plan efficiently for you know planning for climate change going forward when we don’t even know what’s going on with our with our neighbors and

You know how can we be a good neighbor and plan efficiently when we don’t talk to one another and that came through in the raritan we see it uh when we do fema and flood mitigation uh work in the pacific and now we’re seeing it in the

Coastal community so i think that just opening up the dialogue might be uh might be key and i think to interject i think some of that also is coming out of the together north jersey initiative that you all are spearheading at blasting um which could address some of that and and further so

The planning is clearly important and for communities to participate in the community rating system would be very helpful okay let’s move on because we we’re getting a lot of questions and now but we don’t have a whole lot of time left is this gis system that depicts flood

Levels being developed for all coastal areas in the u.s or is it limited to new jersey if it is limited what other similar efforts are underway around the country so i can address that so noaa coastal services center had the template that we’re using for the new jersey flood mapper

Was developed by the noaa coastal services center so there are similar kinds of web-based tools for other parts of the country so at this point they hope to do it nationwide they started in the gulf states they have worked here in the mid-atlantic so there is information for for instance long island

And delaware and and then they’ll fill in some other areas across the country okay um next question for anyone what other states did you use as models for developing your plans and programs well this is uh rick later again um there’s been some interesting work out in long island um

Uh basically spearheaded by the nature conservancy that where they’ve done a lot in terms of vulnerability uh coastal vulnerability and sea level rise assessment work as well as the state of maryland okay great um the next question is for marjorie i’ll just add this margarita that i think is right go ahead

Well i was going to just get the the alliance that we formed is i don’t really know of another state that has something quite what like what we’re doing i think it was either i’m going to say the wrong state but it may have been minnesota or wisconsin that had

Teamed up with the university for developing adaptation planning for the state um go ahead yeah i think there’s wisconsin marjorie um okay marjorie this one is for you has there been any analysis of trends for wind effects from severe storms this has been a major issue for heavily wooded inland communities

Well specific to new jersey i don’t know and i’m not um i think that that’s an interesting question i’d have to look into that uh wind is one of those things that’s kind of a big question mark with respect to climate i know there’s been some work done but i’m not

That up on it but if the person wants to send me information i’ll see what i can get them back okay um how can we find out what fema’s timeline is for the remaining counties in new jersey yeah this is where i i mean i was just looking at their best available flood

Hazard website and so for instance the answer to the question about k may you know right now it’s just the advisory data the preliminary work map data is um intense status to be released in july you know obviously we’re now into august and and so that hasn’t been um updated

Yet um so we’re just like a week behind but uh you know uh fema as they’re rolling these out are putting those but my understanding is the completion is still um you know over the next year or two for the entire state great um the next question is the army

Corps using the type of information talked about today to evaluate dune projects um yeah my understanding is yes they they’ve been doing work on uh storm surge modeling and um the like i mean we share data and some of the data sets we’ve gotten is are from the core so

Since san diego well prior to that but there’s a lot of interaction between noaa army corps fema in terms of sharing data okay great um this is going to be the last question and then i have just a few wrap-up points and reminders to make um so the last question is

It was mentioned that rising sea levels would increase the impact of coastal storms do the implications of this steady rise also include an increase in the chance and frequency of severe coastal storms making landfall in new jersey like do sandy want to address that marjorie

Okay i guess that’s me um so the jury’s still out about um frequency um and location it’s a very active area of research right now okay i’m going to go ahead and change presenters back to myself and finish up a few things just some reminders again

Thank you to the new jersey chapter for sponsoring today’s webcast and reminders that the webcast is available on our youtube channel probably later today and if anyone is interested in a pdf of this i can get that to you all you have to do is email me at planningwebcast yahoo.com and i’ll get

You that pdf and i want to thank everyone again for joining us today and if you have any other questions you can also email planning webcast yahoo.com thanks everybody

ID: hj2tup6K7gM
Time: 1376925082
Date: 2013-08-19 19:41:22
Duration: 01:29:04

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